Predictive Strength Rating Plus

A different way to see college football.

PSR+ is an independent FBS forecasting system built to rate team strength, project games and provide a consistent weekly view of college football.

Live model
Target week
Trained through
FBS teams
Coverage
What PSR+ is

Built for strength and prediction.

01

Power Ratings

Every FBS team is placed on a common neutral-field scale so strength can be compared nationally or conference by conference.

02

Game Forecasts

PSR+ produces weekly matchup projections and win probabilities from the certified production model.

03

Matchup Simulation

Compare any two FBS teams on a neutral field or with home-field advantage using the current PSR+ ratings.

Model philosophy

Evidence first. No team-specific tuning.

PSR+ combines opponent-adjusted performance, preseason strength, roster context and current-season evidence. Changes to the production model are validated across the broader FBS population rather than made to force any individual team toward a preferred ranking.

PSR+ ratings

FBS Power Rankings

Overall strength plus the current component profile for every FBS team.

OverallConf.TeamConferencePSR+OffenseDefenseExplosivenessFinishingHavoc / ProtectionField Position

Component scores are cross-sectional 0–100 ratings from the latest pregame snapshot; the # value is the national rank in that category.

Official production forecasts

This Week

Scheduled-game forecasts come directly from the certified nonlinear PSR+ ensemble.

What-if tool

Matchup Simulator

Pair any two FBS teams and choose the site.

VS

Weekly selections

PSR+ Pick 10

Ten weekly against-the-spread selections from the PSR+ forecasting system.

Team explorer

Team Pages

Select any FBS program for its current PSR+ profile.

Transparency

Model Lab

Production health, methodology, validation and early-season movement.

Production status
Rating method
Validation MAE
Blockers

Production note

Week-over-week

Early-Season Movement

TeamPreCurrentChangeOpponentResult